TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Miami vs San Francisco: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Miami vs San Francisco?

Volume:
$298,284

Christian McCaffrey

 - Kalshi

Christian McCaffrey - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 5:21 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Christian McCaffrey

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$55,000
N/A
N/A
$49,280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

George Kittle

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,276
N/A
N/A
$48,155
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Evans

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,375
N/A
N/A
$27,516
Settled
No
kalshi

Deebo Samuel Sr.

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,507
N/A
N/A
$25,175
Settled
No
kalshi

Caleb Douglas

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,351
N/A
N/A
$25,331
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Washington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,101
N/A
N/A
$24,091
Settled
No
kalshi

Brock Purdy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,220
N/A
N/A
$19,999
Settled
No
kalshi

Demarcus Robinson

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,628
N/A
N/A
$15,527
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,752
N/A
N/A
$10,742
Settled
No
kalshi

De'Von Achane

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,160
N/A
N/A
$8,039
Settled
No
kalshi

SF 49ers D/ST

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,791
N/A
N/A
$6,044
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,749
N/A
N/A
$5,749
Settled
No
kalshi

Greg Dulcich

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,481
N/A
N/A
$5,030
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaelon Black

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,150
N/A
N/A
$5,139
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Juszczyk

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,092
N/A
N/A
$4,082
Settled
No
kalshi

Luke Farrell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,487
N/A
N/A
$2,487
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins D/ST

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,008
N/A
N/A
$998
Settled
No
kalshi

Ollie Gordon II

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$694
N/A
N/A
$694
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Bell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
$341
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin Coleman Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan James

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
$22
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaylen Wright

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacob Cowing

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Kacmarek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Jordan Watkins

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This market focuses on predicting which team or scenario will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Miami and San Francisco. It includes possibilities for either team's defense scoring or no touchdown being scored at all during the game.

Kalshi

The markets determine whether the Miami Dolphins defense, the San Francisco 49ers defense, or No Touchdown will score the first touchdown in the game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If a team's defense scores the first touchdown, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If no touchdowns are scored by either team’s offense or defense, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all other markets resolve to No. If a team is active but does not take a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a team takes a snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on whether that team scores the first touchdown. These rules ensure clarity in resolving outcomes based on in-game events and account for potential edge cases such as inactive teams or penalty-nullified plays.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market tracks the current price of each potential player to score the first touchdown, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $276,562. You can also view the historical price movement of each outcome, giving you insight into how the market has perceived each player’s chances over time. Total volume for this market is currently $298,284. This allows traders to assess market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on price fluctuations and trading activity.

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move faster to react to breaking news, and may offer different value depending on your risk tolerance. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly for less liquid outcomes in this market.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player to score the first touchdown, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player being the first to reach the endzone. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.

This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown of the game, as recorded by official game statistics. The official game results will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the result following the conclusion of the game.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player availability, such as a star receiver being ruled out with a late injury, would likely cause a substantial price movement. Game-day developments, like a change in the starting lineup, could also trigger rapid adjustments in this market. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about team news is crucial for traders.