TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 5:22 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which San Francisco player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Miami. Each market corresponds to a specific player or defensive unit, with outcomes determined by game events.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified San Francisco player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to whether they score the first touchdown. If San Francisco fails to score any touchdowns during the game, the 'No San Francisco Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player markets resolve to No. All markets are independent, and the resolution depends strictly on the timing and attribution of the first touchdown scored by San Francisco in the contest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book style exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating increased confidence in that scenario. The current price represents the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine whether the San Francisco 49ers scored their first touchdown during the game against the Miami Dolphins. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be assessed against publicly available and verifiable information, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, particularly the 49ers’ offensive players, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Game-day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive adjustments, will cause rapid price movements. Finally, any public statements from coaches or players about their game plan could provide insights that traders incorporate into their valuations of this market.