TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:59 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming MLS match between Miami and San Diego FC, this event tracks whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, including any added stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
If Miami and San Diego FC both score a goal in the Miami vs San Diego FC MLS match originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of both teams scoring in the Miami vs San Diego FC match, they can take a position in this market, driving the odds closer to their collective assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Miami vs San Diego FC match. As more people buy contracts indicating 'yes' (both teams will score), the price of those contracts increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price and probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all participants trading on Kalshi, creating a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Miami vs San Diego FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both teams score at least one goal during the match. The final score will be the determining factor, and the outcome will be reported based on official match data. Traders holding contracts on Kalshi will be paid out or required to settle their positions based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Miami or San Diego FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions impacting the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals can help inform trading decisions.