TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Miami and Pittsburgh. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match timeframe.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Miami and Pittsburgh in their professional USL Championship soccer match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the count. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold is evaluated separately against the same match result. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the total goals scored. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can provide a broader perspective on the potential outcome and highlight areas where the crowd disagrees with professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth – the number of contracts available at various price points – indicates the level of interest and potential liquidity for each outcome. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the total goals and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the Miami vs Pittsburgh match will be the determining factor. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Miami or Pittsburgh would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Unexpected tactical decisions announced by either team’s coach, or late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts, could also impact trader sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely total goals scored has the potential to move this market.