TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Miami vs Pittsburgh: Spread
kalshi

Miami vs Pittsburgh: Spread

Volume:
$542,557

Miami wins by over 1.5 runs

 - Kalshi

Miami wins by over 1.5 runs - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 9:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami wins by over 1.5 runs

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$80,884
N/A
N/A
$36,773
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami wins by over 3.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$73,133
N/A
N/A
$38,974
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Miami wins by over 2.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,255
N/A
N/A
$14,880
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marlins wins by over 4.5 runs

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,243
N/A
N/A
$9,953
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pittsburgh wins by over 1.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$316,213
N/A
N/A
$224,406
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,167
N/A
N/A
$9,732
Settled
No
kalshi

Marlins wins by over 5.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,366
N/A
N/A
$6,066
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh wins by over 3.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,558
N/A
N/A
$4,613
Settled
No
kalshi

Marlins wins by over 6.5 runs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$737
N/A
N/A
$737
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This baseball spread market covers the full game between Miami and Pittsburgh on June 12, 2026. Bettors predict whether Pittsburgh or Miami will win by various run margins, with outcomes ranging from narrow 1.5-run victories to decisive 3.5-run blowouts.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the final run differential in the Miami vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 6:40 PM EDT. Pittsburgh winning by more than 3.5 runs, more than 2.5 runs, or more than 1.5 runs each constitute separate Yes resolutions, as do Miami winning by more than 1.5 runs, more than 2.5 runs, or more than 3.5 runs. The specific run margin threshold determines which outcome applies to the game result.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and price movement for the Miami vs Pittsburgh spread market. You can monitor current implied probabilities, 24-hour trading volume of $503,910, and historical price charts that show how trader sentiment has shifted since the market opened. These metrics help you understand whether the line is moving toward Miami or Pittsburgh, and how much liquidity is supporting each side of the bet.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. On this market, the odds can shift more dynamically as new information emerges, team news breaks, or injury reports surface. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective forecast of thousands of independent traders, sometimes revealing consensus that differs from the opening spread.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects the current consensus on whether Miami will cover or Pittsburgh will beat the line. As more traders enter positions, the price adjusts to clear supply and demand, ensuring that the odds you see are live and responsive to breaking developments.

This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, once the Miami versus Pittsburgh game concludes and the final spread is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official final score and the agreed-upon point spread. Once the result is determined and confirmed, all positions settle according to whether Miami covered, Pittsburgh covered, or the game landed exactly on the spread.

Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, coaching changes, weather forecasts on game day, and recent team performance trends. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often signals sharp money and can trigger repricing here. Playoff implications, rest advantages, and head-to-head matchup history also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about roster availability or lineup decisions typically causes sharp price swings as the market recalibrates its forecast.