TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Miami vs Philadelphia: First Inning Run
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Miami vs Philadelphia?

Volume:
$666,844

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

 - Predict

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 9:05 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies

View
1%
46%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$668
$16,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$650,595
N/A
N/A
$538,657
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether the Miami Marlins or Philadelphia Phillies will score the first run in their MLB game scheduled for August 19. The aggregated consensus probability for the leading outcome stands at 8.0%. Data is drawn from Predict and Kalshi, with resolution based on official MLB game statistics. The outcome will be determined by the events of the game on August 19, with the market set to resolve by August 20.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scope Difference - One market resolves based on the winner of the entire game, while the other resolves based on whether any run is scored in the first inningHero tip: Traders should be cautious as these markets address fundamentally different outcomes. Bets on Predict will resolve based on the final game result, while Kalshi bets depend solely on first-inning scoring.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Resolves to Miami Marlins if they win the game, Philadelphia Phillies if they win, and 50-50 for ties or cancellations
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team scores a run in the first inning
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Miami vs Philadelphia professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 19, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 19 at 6:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the first inning run market aggregates data from multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders across Kalshi and Predict price this question. It displays current probabilities, volume of $666,844, and 24-hour volume of $585,336, giving you a consensus view of market sentiment as the game approaches.