TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 10:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New York M will score at least 6 runs in their matchup against Miami on Kalshi. The leading outcome—New York M scoring 6 or more runs—currently stands at 76.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the official final score from the professional baseball game scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, as tracked by the resolution source. Watch the teams' recent offensive performance and pitching matchups leading up to the May 29 game to gauge scoring potential.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than bookmaker margins. Sportsbooks build in juice and adjust lines for liability, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized bets. For Miami vs New York M: Team Total, comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less bullish on run totals than professional oddsmakers. These differences can highlight value opportunities or consensus shifts in how the market views team offensive output.
The Miami vs New York M: Team Total market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official run total recorded for the specified team in the completed game. The market outcome hinges on whether the team's runs meet, exceed, or fall short of the threshold embedded in the contract. Once the game concludes and official statistics are confirmed, the contract settles based on the actual result, paying out to traders who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several catalysts can shift Miami vs New York M: Team Total pricing before May 30, 2026. Lineup announcements, injuries to key batters or pitchers, and recent offensive trends will influence trader expectations of run production. Weather conditions—wind direction, temperature, humidity—affect ball carry and scoring pace. Bullpen strength and recent form matter significantly for run prevention. Trade deadline moves, rest days, and head-to-head historical matchups also inform positioning. As game day approaches, final confirmations of starting pitchers and batting orders typically trigger the largest repricing of team total contracts.