TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 10:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether New York M will win by more than 2.5 runs against Miami in their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, New York M winning by over 1.5 runs stands at 36.0%, while Miami winning by over 1.5 runs is at 34.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official final score of the professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT. Watch the teams' recent offensive and pitching performance leading up to game time to gauge whether either squad is likely to secure a decisive multi-run victory.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time consensus from traders betting their own capital, often diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized participant beliefs. For the Miami vs New York M: Spread event, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the market perceives edge or mispricing. Prediction markets typically adjust faster to breaking news and player updates, making them a complementary reference point alongside conventional betting lines.
The Miami vs New York M: Spread market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official score of the game between Miami and New York M, specifically whether New York M wins by more than 2.5 runs. The outcome will be settled based on the recorded result from the relevant sports league authority. Traders should monitor the game closely as it approaches the end date, as the final margin of victory will directly determine which side of the contract is correct.
Key catalysts for Miami vs New York M: Spread include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and injury updates for both teams. Weather conditions at game time can significantly impact run production and final margins. Recent team form, head-to-head matchup history, and bullpen availability often drive trader sentiment. Breaking news about player availability or trades may shift probability sharply. As game day approaches, betting action from sharp money and public sentiment can accelerate price movement. Live game developments—early runs, momentum shifts, or unexpected performances—will influence final resolution odds right up until the market closes.