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Closed: Sep 12, 8:18 PM EST
Kalshi
When Miami faces Nashville in their MLS fixture on September 12, 2026, observers will focus on whether each team can score at least one goal during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with own goals counting for the team to which they are awarded.
If Miami and Nashville both score a goal in the Miami vs Nashville MLS match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, and can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. While both aim to predict the same outcome, this market’s price can diverge from sportsbook lines based on differing information or interpretations. It’s useful to compare the implied probabilities from both sources to identify potential value or discrepancies in expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Miami vs Nashville match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating greater confidence in the outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. The current price reflects the aggregate assessment of all participants on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of both teams scoring.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Miami and Nashville teams score at least one goal during the match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is triggered. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Miami or Nashville would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting the style of play, might also contribute to price movements. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ attacking capabilities could influence trading activity.