TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Miami vs Leon: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Miami vs Leon?

Volume:
$248,711

Miami wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Miami wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 10:03 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$147,086
N/A
N/A
$69,216
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,453
N/A
N/A
$22,452
Settled
No
kalshi

Leon wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,358
N/A
N/A
$17,173
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,909
N/A
N/A
$7,894
Settled
No
kalshi

Leon wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,904
N/A
N/A
$7,242
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Miami and Leon, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are placed on whether a team will win by a specific number of goals or more.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different winning margins in the Miami vs Leon professional Leagues Cup soccer match scheduled for August 12, 2026. All markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome scenarios are evaluated: Miami winning by more than 2.5 goals, Miami winning by more than 1.5 goals, Leon winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Leon winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market independently assesses its specific threshold, meaning a single match can potentially satisfy multiple market conditions depending on the goal differential. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the Miami vs Leon spread market. It shows how traders are pricing the point differential between the two teams as the event approaches. The interface updates continuously to reflect market activity, giving users insight into betting trends and liquidity levels through metrics like $248,711 in total volume and $242,734 in 24-hour volume.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect aggregated trader sentiment rather than set benchmarks. In this market, traders may price in factors beyond simple win probabilities, such as recent performance trends or injury updates. While sportsbooks set a fixed spread, prediction markets adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity, sometimes showing tighter or wider spreads depending on market depth and participant behavior.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic spread that shifts with each trade. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about which team will cover the spread on game day. Market depth and volume, indicated by $248,711, also influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or betting patterns.

This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result and point differential, which will be checked against widely accepted sports data sources at that time.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could all shift expectations for the game's margin and move this market. Additionally, strong performances in prior matches, media narratives, or betting trends may influence trader sentiment leading up to Aug 13, 2026. Any new information that alters the perceived likelihood of the spread being covered can cause rapid price adjustments in the final days before resolution.