TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ollie Gordon II will score 2+ touchdowns in the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 2.0% probability to Ollie Gordon II scoring 2+ touchdowns, while the market assigns a 1.0% probability to him scoring 1+ touchdowns. The market will resolve based on whether Ian Thomas scores at least 1+ touchdowns in the game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 13, 2026, as the outcome will depend on individual player performance during that fixture.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player scores the required number of touchdowns in the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles according to the actual touchdowns scored during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for each named player and touchdown threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may also adjust their lines more slowly to changes in information than this market, where prices update continuously based on trader activity. While sportsbooks set odds based on their models and risk assessment, this market represents a collective forecast from a diverse group of participants. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each possible scenario in the NFL touchdowns market. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the game between Miami and Las Vegas will determine the winning contract. Resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will settle to reflect the actual number of touchdowns scored. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Miami or Las Vegas would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for passing, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team performance or matchups could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.