TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the official game statistics for total offensive yards gained by each team.
The event evaluates whether Miami or Las Vegas achieves various offensive yardage thresholds (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, and 450+ yards) in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each threshold represents a separate market that resolves to Yes if the respective team surpasses that yardage mark. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs. This often leads to prediction markets being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which isn't present in this market. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage for each team, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. Contracts predicting a total yardage at or below the actual total will pay out, while those predicting a higher total will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on the official NFL statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result for this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be significant, as they directly impact a team's ability to gain yardage. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions like heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing and rushing attacks. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis, could influence trading activity and move the market.