TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether he reaches various rushing yard thresholds. Bettors can speculate on the likelihood of the player achieving different levels of success in terms of yardage gained during the match.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered on De'Von Achane's rushing yard performance in the Miami vs Las Vegas professional football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific rushing yard threshold (ranging from 40+ to 160+ yards). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' Achane must record at least the specified number of rushing yards in the game. If Achane is active for the game but does not take a snap, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Achane takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets settle based strictly on the total rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation for each specified yardage milestone.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. If significant differences exist, it may present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts across both venues. It’s important to note that prediction markets often incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a specific yardage range is likely, the price of contracts in that range will increase. Conversely, if traders believe a range is unlikely, the price will decrease. The current price represents the market’s expectation of the probability of that yardage range occurring.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Miami vs Las Vegas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yardage will be sourced from official NFL data and used to determine which contracts settle at 100. Any discrepancies will be addressed using publicly available game statistics to ensure an accurate and fair resolution. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their purchased contracts align with the final, verified result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the offensive line composition. Weather conditions on game day, particularly rain or wind, could impact the running game strategy. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or game plans could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the price of contracts within this market.