TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:26 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players, Malik Willis and De'Von Achane, carry the ball during a football game between Miami and Las Vegas. The outcomes depend on whether each player meets or exceeds certain rushing attempt thresholds. Settlement considers player participation and snap counts, ensuring accurate resolution based on actual game performance.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by Malik Willis or De'Von Achane in the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. For each market, if the specified player records the stated number of rushing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. All markets are independent, with each defining a different threshold of rushing attempts for resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for informed trading, or a differing assessment of the likelihood of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing attempt totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of whether the actual number of rushing attempts will be above or below that total. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential outcome. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at different price points, which can influence trading decisions.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official rushing attempt count for the Miami versus Las Vegas game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the actual number of rushing attempts. The contract corresponding to the closest predicted total will pay out $1.00, while all other contracts will settle to $0.00. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to Sep 14, 2026. News regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game plan. Any announcements about coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive schemes could also move the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player availability or unexpected changes in team dynamics could all contribute to shifts in the perceived probability of different rushing attempt totals.