TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:42 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how many passing touchdowns they achieve. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' in-game statistics, reflecting their offensive contributions during the match.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by specified quarterbacks during the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. For each market, if the named quarterback records the minimum required number of passing touchdowns, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a quarterback is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during their participation in the game. These provisions ensure that markets reflect actual in-game performance while accounting for potential last-minute roster changes or unexpected circumstances where a quarterback might be present but not utilized.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and specialized knowledge. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may react faster than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see convergence between the two as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still exist, offering potential arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Miami versus Las Vegas game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to view the final result and receive payouts based on their positions in the market after the official game data is confirmed.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly the quarterbacks for either team, would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact the expected number of passing touchdowns. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could influence trading activity and alter the prices in this market.