TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performance in an upcoming Pro Football game, using a specific fantasy-point scoring system. Each market focuses on whether particular players or the teams' defenses will exceed designated fantasy-point thresholds during the full game, including overtime.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by specified players or defensive units in the full duration of the Miami vs Las Vegas Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, including any overtime periods. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories such as passing yards, touchdowns, receptions, and defensive achievements. Each primary rule specifies a threshold; if the player or team accumulates more fantasy points than the stated threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Players or defensive units that do not participate in the game or are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no rounding applied and no corrections accepted after expiration. This ensures consistency across all markets, as each relies on the same scoring methodology and data source.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different fantasy point outcomes for both teams. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy point totals for the Miami vs Las Vegas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official fantasy point totals from a recognized fantasy sports provider will determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle based on which outcome’s contract price most closely reflects the actual result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team would likely have a significant impact, as this directly affects their potential fantasy point output. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the market. Furthermore, as the game approaches, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could influence trading activity and contract prices.