TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Miami vs Las Vegas: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Miami vs Las Vegas?

Volume:
$435,053

Jack Bech

 - Kalshi

Jack Bech - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 5:23 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jack Bech

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$139,815
N/A
N/A
$138,819
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brock Bowers

View
11%
Yes 11¢No 89¢
100¢
N/A
$864
N/A
N/A
$644
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalen Tolbert

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
100¢
N/A
$112,378
N/A
N/A
$110,497
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,651
N/A
N/A
$50,487
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Mayer

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,398
N/A
N/A
$23,245
Settled
No
kalshi

De'Von Achane

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,613
N/A
N/A
$19,892
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Bell

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,690
N/A
N/A
$13,680
Settled
No
kalshi

Ashton Jeanty

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,812
N/A
N/A
$11,872
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Heyward

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,062
N/A
N/A
$9,062
Settled
No
kalshi

Caleb Douglas

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,054
N/A
N/A
$7,897
Settled
No
kalshi

Greg Dulcich

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,690
N/A
N/A
$7,690
Settled
No
kalshi

Jalen Nailor

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,120
N/A
N/A
$7,106
Settled
No
kalshi

Ian Thomas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,484
N/A
N/A
$6,484
Settled
No
kalshi

Kirk Cousins

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,859
N/A
N/A
$4,923
Settled
No
kalshi

Mike Washington Jr.

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,107
N/A
N/A
$4,107
Settled
No
kalshi

Tre Tucker

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,209
N/A
N/A
$3,159
Settled
No
kalshi

Ollie Gordon II

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,183
N/A
N/A
$2,106
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaylen Wright

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,012
N/A
N/A
$2,012
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Miller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,524
N/A
N/A
$1,524
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Washington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,320
N/A
N/A
$1,320
Settled
No
kalshi

LV Raiders D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$660
N/A
N/A
$660
Settled
No
kalshi

Dylan Laube

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$631
N/A
N/A
$631
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Benson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
$360
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Kacmarek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$327
N/A
N/A
$327
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$230
N/A
N/A
$230
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This event tracks which player will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between two teams. Participants can speculate on the likelihood of various players achieving this milestone, adding a layer of engagement and analysis to the game.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to a specific player from either team, with the outcome resolving to 'Yes' if that player scores the first touchdown of the game. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on whether that player scores the first touchdown. If no touchdowns are scored in the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to 'Yes,' and all individual player markets resolve to 'No.' These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific markets for this event.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market tracks the current price of contracts representing each potential player to score the first touchdown. You’ll find a dynamic price chart displaying how the market has valued each player over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $410,583. The total volume traded on this market is $435,053. This allows you to see which players are attracting the most attention and where traders believe the best value lies in predicting who will reach the endzone first in the Miami versus Las Vegas game.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prices in this market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook odds. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds closer to game time, but discrepancies can still present opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each potential player to score the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that player scoring first, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'yes' (player will score first) or 'no' (player will not score first) side of a contract. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news and information, creating a real-time assessment of probabilities.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player physically crosses the goal line first to score a touchdown during the Miami versus Las Vegas game. Any touchdowns scored due to penalties will not count towards resolution. The result will be based on the official game statistics and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and fairness in determining the winner of this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key offensive players on either team would be a major catalyst, shifting probabilities as the likelihood of specific players scoring changes. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse, could also influence the market, potentially favoring running backs over quarterbacks. Late-breaking news about changes to offensive playcalling strategies or defensive matchups could also cause price movements in this market as traders adjust their predictions.