TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which player or unit will score the first touchdown for the Las Vegas team in an upcoming professional football game against Miami. Each market is tied to a specific participant, with outcomes determined by their performance during the game.
Each market resolves to Yes only if the specified player or unit scores the first touchdown for Las Vegas in the designated game. If the designated participant is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair pre-game market price. Once a snap occurs—even if nullified by a penalty—the outcome depends solely on whether that participant scores the first Las Vegas touchdown. If Las Vegas fails to score any touchdowns during the game, all player-specific markets resolve to No, and the No Las Vegas Touchdown market resolves to Yes. These rules apply uniformly across all participant markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each potential scorer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of the perceived likelihood of each player scoring the first touchdown for Las Vegas. The current volume indicates active trading and a degree of uncertainty surrounding the event.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown for the Las Vegas team during the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on the latest information and their assessment of the probabilities.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift the probabilities. A key player being ruled out would likely increase the odds of other players scoring the first touchdown. Additionally, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and any public statements from coaches or players could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected developments during the game itself, such as early turnovers or strong defensive plays, would also cause rapid adjustments in the market for the first Las Vegas touchdown.