TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.3b
24H VOL:
$121,875,814
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,437,844,306
405,535
Markets across
30,523
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 7:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether one or more runs will be scored in the first inning of the Miami versus Kansas City professional baseball game. Currently, the probability of Over 0.5 runs in the first inning is at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by whether either team scores a run in the first inning, as defined by the game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT. Keep an eye on the official start time of the game on September 3, 2026, as this will initiate the relevant inning for market resolution.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Miami vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on whether either team scores at least one run during the first inning of the game, a fact that becomes official once the match concludes and box scores are published. Traders will see the market settle automatically after the game’s conclusion, with no manual intervention required.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute changes to starting lineups, especially regarding key hitters or pitchers, as well as pre-game weather updates that might affect offensive performance. Injuries announced close to game time, or even early inning performance in live gameplay—such as a quick strike by either team—can cause rapid price swings. Traders will also watch for any commentary from coaches or analysts that suggests strategic shifts affecting early-game aggression.