TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Kansas City will win its professional baseball game against Miami. Currently, the probability of Kansas City winning on Kalshi is 82.0%, while Miami winning is at 18.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, as determined by the official result of that contest. Keep an eye on whether the game proceeds as scheduled, as the market resolves fairly if significantly rescheduled or canceled, with final resolution expected around September 4, 2026.
If Miami wins the Miami vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas City wins the Miami vs Kansas City professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to varied participant motivations and information sources. While sportsbooks may reflect broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets capture more nuanced, trader-driven probabilities. This can lead to divergence, especially when insider insights or specific data points shift expectations. Monitoring both can provide a richer picture of where consensus may be heading before the game.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official game determination, providing a clear and objective basis for settlement. Traders can track news, team performance, and any last-minute changes that might affect the final score, but the resolution hinges on authoritative sources that confirm the contest's result.
Injuries, weather conditions, and key player performances can all shift expectations and move this market. Major news — such as lineup changes, coaching decisions, or even shifts in betting trends — may cause rapid adjustments in odds. As the game nears, real-time updates from pre-match analysis and social sentiment often influence trader behavior, making volume and price volatility more pronounced in the final days leading to Sep 4, 2026.