TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 4:44 PM EST
Kalshi
Miami Marlins compete against the Cincinnati Reds in a professional baseball match on August 16, 2026. The result hinges on whether the game requires additional innings beyond the standard nine to settle the final score.
If Miami and Cincinnati go to extra innings in the Miami vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, the extra innings market reflects trader sentiment through dynamic pricing, often showing sharper insights than traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks incorporate broader public betting patterns and adjusted margins, this market captures focused speculation on game length. Traders may see tighter spreads or different biases depending on recent performance trends and pitching rotations. The contrast can highlight where algorithmic models diverge from averaged public perception, offering alternative perspectives on the likelihood of extended play.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders continuously update the probability of extra innings occurring, with prices adjusting to balance buy and sell orders. The current top outcome reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants, expressed as a percentage chance. Volume of $5,022 and 24-hour volume of $5,022 indicate liquidity levels, while recent price movements may signal shifting opinions on starting pitcher performance or weather conditions affecting game length.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game goes beyond the standard nine innings, as reported by official league sources and widely covered news outlets.