What is the result of Miami vs Cincinnati?

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through a continuous order book where each contract represents a binary outcome — yes or no for extra innings. The current implied probability reflects the most recent trade execution, showing what the market collectively believes is the chance of the game extending beyond regulation. Volume of $1,140 over the last 24 hours indicates how active trading has been on this event.

This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether the game goes beyond the standard nine innings, as recorded by official league sources at the conclusion of play.

Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes to starting pitchers can all shift trader expectations and move this market. Updates from coaches or official team announcements may also influence pricing, as will any last-minute roster moves that affect the game's pace or likelihood of a tie going into the final inning. Volume often spikes around these developments as participants react to new information.