TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the performance gap between Miami and Atlanta in their scheduled MLS soccer match. It focuses on the margin of victory, determining whether one team dominates the other by a specific number of goals. Outcomes reflect varying degrees of superiority for each team.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for the Miami vs Atlanta professional MLS soccer game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Resolution is based solely on regular time—90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Four distinct outcome categories exist: Miami winning by more than 2.5 goals, Miami winning by more than 1.5 goals, Atlanta winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Atlanta winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each category resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the corresponding goal-differential margin within the defined timeframe. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and unique positioning. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can create sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders may react faster to new information, causing shifts that diverge from standard sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the final score and whether it meets the spread conditions set in the market rules. No additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the official game result.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant performance trends leading up to the game could shift this market. Weather conditions, lineup announcements, and even early-game momentum can impact trader sentiment and drive price changes. Any new information that affects the perceived likelihood of covering the spread may cause rapid movements in odds before resolution.