TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Miami vs Arizona
kalshi
predict

Who will win Miami vs Arizona?

Volume:
$12,777,644

Miami

 - Kalshi

Miami - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 1:19 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami

View
100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,510,215
N/A
N/A
$3,161,472
Settled
Yes
predict

Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

View
99%
56%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$33,787
$60,499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Arizona

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,206,930
N/A
N/A
$2,401,115
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Major League Baseball game between the Miami Marlins and the Arizona Diamondbacks. Currently, the consensus probability of Miami winning is 89.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Predict. Resolution will be based on the official final statistics of the game as recognized by the governing body, with a fallback to credible reporting if necessary. This market will remain open if the game is postponed, and will resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled or ends in a tie. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for September 15th at 9:40PM ET, as that will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game in 2026, while Predict references a game in 2024. This represents a fundamental data integrity failure.Hero tip: Avoid trading these markets due to the significant date discrepancy. The markets are effectively asking about different events.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Resolves to Miami if Miami wins, Arizona if Arizona wins, 50/50 for cancellation or tie. Scheduled for September 15th (year unspecified, but context implies 2024). "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Miami or Arizona wins, but specifically references a game scheduled for September 15, 2026. "If Arizona wins the Miami vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between Miami and Arizona originally scheduled for September 15, 2026, at 9:40 PM EDT. If Miami wins, the market for Miami resolves to Yes, and the market for Arizona resolves to No. Conversely, if Arizona wins, the market for Arizona resolves to Yes, and the market for Miami resolves to No. Should the game be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the defined procedures. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for September 15 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On both Kalshi and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Miami vs Arizona game. Currently, the aggregated volume across these platforms is $12,777,644, with $11,429,262 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view on the likely result, combining insights from diverse traders. While both platforms address the same question, the implied probabilities and trading activity can vary, offering a comprehensive look at expectations surrounding the game. Traders on these platforms are expressing their beliefs about which team will win.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Predict, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. Sometimes, prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbooks, particularly when there's a lot of information available and active trading. It’s a valuable comparison point for anyone following the Miami vs Arizona game.