TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Outcomes depend on whether a team's total points exceed various thresholds, offering different levels of difficulty for prediction.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals from the Miami (OH) vs Pittsburgh college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific point threshold for each team; if the team's score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise No.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome as new information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply the collective intelligence of prediction market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new data than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions align with the eventual result. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the potential team totals.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final team totals for both Miami (OH) and Pittsburgh will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the contract values traded on Kalshi. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the outcome, reflecting the actual results of the game. Traders will then be paid out or required to cover their positions based on the final results.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Miami (OH) or Pittsburgh would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any significant shifts in public perception or betting trends, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected announcements related to the game itself could also lead to changes.