TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 4:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the scoring performance of both teams in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether specific teams will exceed various point thresholds.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all specified point thresholds for both teams.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each side assesses the probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of probabilities. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as traders actively shape the odds through their trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Miami (OH) and Cincinnati will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the contract levels traded on Kalshi. Resolution will occur promptly after the completion of the game and official score reporting, ensuring a timely and accurate settlement for all participants.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Miami (OH) or Cincinnati would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s style of play, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any shifts in public perception based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.