TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 6:43 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-19 01:40 UTC: If the Miami Marlins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-19 01:40 UTC: If the Miami Marlins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Opinion, aims to represent the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market evolves as new information and sentiment emerge, potentially offering a more accurate forecast as game day approaches. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, reflecting differing opinions on the likely result.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the game between the Miami Marlins and the San Diego Padres, as reported by a major sports data provider. The market will settle to 100% for the winning team and 0% for the losing team. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Marlins or the Padres would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in the starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant news about team morale could all move the market. Unexpected lineup changes or late-breaking reports about player performance could also trigger adjustments. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants on Opinion could indicate a shift in sentiment and lead to price fluctuations.