TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 9:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total runs scored in the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies on August 17 at 6:40PM ET will be over or under 11.5 runs. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently holds a probability of 50.0%. The resolution source for this market is https://www.mlb.com/scores. Watch for the game’s final score on August 17, which will determine the market outcome.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 17 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually place bets that directly set the odds for this market. The current probability reflects the ratio of ‘yes’ to ‘no’ shares outstanding, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading volume. As more users buy or sell contracts, the implied chance fluctuates instantly. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid response to new information, such as player injuries or weather changes, without centralized control or delay.
This market resolves around Aug 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official game statistics and box scores, which are widely reported and easily auditable. As long as the data appears in reputable sports news sources and official league records, the market will close and payouts will be processed automatically based on those verified results.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or last-minute lineup changes could all shift this market as they affect the perceived balance of power. Strong performance in recent games by a pitcher or hitter may also cause traders to re-evaluate probabilities. Additionally, any significant betting activity on Polymarket—especially large trades—can move the odds quickly, reflecting changing sentiment in the run-up to Aug 24, 2026. Media narratives and expert commentary may also influence trader behavior in the final days.