TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win Miami Marlins vs Colorado Rockies?

Volume:
$770,377

O/U 11.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 11.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 8:40 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$352,430
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$211,573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$10,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,928
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$173,120
N/A
N/A
$108,739
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
8.9¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
16¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19.9¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

This event group covers two distinct MLB prediction markets for the Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies game scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET: a moneyline market (winner of the game) and a first-inning run-scoring market. The markets span three prediction platforms with slightly different resolution criteria and timing specifications.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Scheduled game date mismatch (June 29 on Kalshi vs. June 30 on Predict/Polymarket) creates potential for settlement failure. Additionally, Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation/postponement resolution language, while other platforms provide detailed contingency rules.Hero tip: Before trading any of these markets, confirm the official MLB game date via MLB.com. If Kalshi's June 29 date is erroneous, that market faces critical resolution risk. Avoid trading Kalshi until date discrepancy is resolved. Predict and Polymarket are internally consistent but may diverge from Kalshi on settlement timing.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Moneyline market (Marlins vs. Rockies winner). Scheduled June 30, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET. Resolves to winning team based on official MLB statistics within 24 hours or credible consensus. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation/tie resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Polymarket: Two markets: (1) Moneyline (Marlins vs. Rockies winner) and (2) First Inning Run (Yes/No). Both scheduled June 30, 2026 at 8:40 PM ET. Same resolution logic as Predict for postponement/cancellation. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: First Inning Run market (Yes/No). Scheduled June 29, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT (DATE MISMATCH). Resolves Yes if either team scores in first inning; No otherwise. No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided. Quote: 'If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Miami vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 29, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for June 30 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Miami vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 29, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for June 30 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating information faster than traditional oddsmakers update their lines. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional bookmaker positioning, sometimes highlighting value opportunities.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi may also weight recent trades differently or experience asynchronous information flow. Regulatory differences, platform-specific rules, and the timing of large trades can cause one market to lead price discovery while the other lags. These spreads typically narrow as arbitrageurs trade across both venues, but temporary gaps often reflect genuine disagreement about the event's outcome.

Key catalysts include injury announcements affecting either team's roster, lineup changes, weather conditions at game time, and recent team performance trends. Betting line movement at major sportsbooks often precedes prediction market shifts, so monitoring those changes can signal incoming repricing. Breaking news about player availability, managerial decisions, or unexpected roster moves typically triggers rapid trading volume spikes. Live game developments—early scoring, momentum shifts, or strategic adjustments—will drive final price movements as the event unfolds.