TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 12:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total runs scored in the Miami Marlins versus Arizona Diamondbacks baseball game will be Over/Under 6.5 runs. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5” resolving as true. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 16 at 9:40PM ET, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for September 16 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who buy shares in a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence. Conversely, selling pressure will lower the price, suggesting decreasing confidence in that outcome for the Marlins-Diamondbacks game.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results of the Marlins-Diamondbacks game, as reported by official sources. The specifics of the outcome will depend on the exact market question offered on Polymarket, but will be determined by the final game results. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineup for either the Marlins or the Diamondbacks would likely have a significant impact. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions that favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or managerial decisions could also contribute to changes in the market’s pricing, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.