TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 7:32 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-16 01:40 UTC: If the Miami Marlins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the Arizona Diamondbacks win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-16 01:40 UTC: If the Miami Marlins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Marlins". If the Arizona Diamondbacks win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Opinion, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk appetites. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events, especially when there's significant public interest and active trading.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the game between the Marlins and Diamondbacks, as reported by major sports news outlets. The winning team will be determined by the final score at the end of the regulation game, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market is officially closed.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team, changes in pitching matchups, or even weather forecasts could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even a major trade impacting either roster, could also cause the odds to move. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage surrounding the teams can influence trading activity, driving the price of contracts up or down as the game approaches.