TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Miami (FL) will win against Wake Forest by more than 1.5 points in their upcoming college football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 93.0% probability to Miami (FL) winning by over 1.5 points. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Miami (FL) vs Wake Forest game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the scheduled game date of September 19, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Miami (FL) vs Wake Forest college football game scheduled for September 18, 2026. For markets where Miami wins by a specified point margin or more, the market resolves to Yes if Miami's victory meets or exceeds that margin; otherwise, it resolves to No. The inverse applies for markets where Wake Forest must win by a specified margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when considering the incentive structure for traders. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a common point of comparison for those new to predictive markets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those with inaccurate predictions risk losing capital. The current price represents the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likely result of the Miami vs Wake Forest game.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Miami vs Wake Forest football game. The platform will then verify the result against trusted sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Miami or Wake Forest would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the game, such as a change in venue or starting quarterback, would also be catalysts. As the game approaches, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team covering the spread will likely be reflected in the market price.