TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 9:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential specifically within the second quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team could win that quarter, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance anticipated in a single game segment.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Miami (FL) vs Wake Forest college football game scheduled for September 18, 2026. For markets where Miami (FL) is the favored team, resolution occurs if Miami wins the quarter by exceeding the specified point margin (ranging from 2.5 to 23.5 points). Conversely, markets favoring Wake Forest resolve if Wake Forest secures a quarter win by more than the designated margin (2.5 to 10.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official second-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting an equitable assessment of incomplete or canceled event conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for traders who believe the market is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The more contracts purchased for a specific spread, the higher the price rises, indicating greater confidence in that outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual second quarter spread of the Miami vs Wake Forest game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by official game statistics, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. The platform will verify the results and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Miami or Wake Forest teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the market. Public perception and betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook odds, can also play a role in influencing trading activity on Kalshi.