TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 11:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second half of a college football game between Miami (FL) and Wake Forest. It specifically evaluates performance from halftime onward, including any overtime periods, to decide the winner for that segment of play.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the second half (including overtime) of the Miami (FL) vs Wake Forest college football game scheduled for September 18, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price. All outcomes—Wake Forest winning the second half, Miami (FL) winning the second half, or a tie in the second half—are evaluated solely on points scored during that period.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that prediction market traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook lines. It's important to note that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome – either Miami winning the 2nd half or Wake Forest winning the 2nd half. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the second half of the Miami vs Wake Forest football game will determine the outcome. The result will be based on the official game statistics and final score as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual result of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Miami or Wake Forest teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could impact the market. Even public perception, driven by social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.