TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 8:11 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Miami (FL) and Wake Forest. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win the quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of play in the Miami (FL) vs Wake Forest college football game scheduled for September 18, 2026. For markets where Miami (FL) must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Miami (FL) achieves that margin or greater in the first quarter. Conversely, for markets where Wake Forest must win by a specified margin, resolution occurs if Wake Forest achieves that margin or greater in the first quarter. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and internal analyses, while this market allows individuals to trade on their own predictions. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially closer to the event, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Miami vs Wake Forest spread. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. Buyers are expressing a belief that the outcome is *more* likely, while sellers are betting it’s *less* likely. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is driven by the collective actions of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result of the first quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the first quarter of the Miami vs Wake Forest game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Miami or Wake Forest would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Public perception and betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook lines, can also indirectly influence activity on Kalshi as traders react to broader market sentiment.