TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 9:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Miami (FL) and Wake Forest. It focuses solely on the scoring during the first half, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends on whether Miami (FL) scores more points than Wake Forest in that half, Wake Forest scores more, or they finish tied.
If Wake Forest wins the 1st half of the Miami (FL) vs Wake Forest college football game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) wins the 1st half of the Miami (FL) vs Wake Forest college football game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Miami (FL) vs Wake Forest college football game originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed or active trading base. It’s common to see the odds converge closer to the event start time as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome—Miami winning the first half or Wake Forest winning the first half. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and exchange contracts, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived probability, while lower prices suggest a lower probability. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first-half result of the Miami vs Wake Forest football game will determine the winning contract. The team leading at the end of the second quarter will be declared the winner of the first half. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and results as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Miami or Wake Forest would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, or even public sentiment expressed through polls or social media, could influence traders on Kalshi. Finally, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information.