TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both the Miami Dolphins and San Francisco 49ers during the second quarter of their scheduled game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, determining whether the combined score exceeds that level.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the second quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the second quarter count, and the markets are independent, each evaluating a different point total benchmark. The official game date and teams are explicitly stated, and all markets share the same secondary rule regarding the counting period. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can emerge as new information surfaces or as differing groups analyze the game. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to relevant news or data compared to traditional betting markets, though this isn't always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the second quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price can fluctuate significantly based on factors like key player injuries, weather conditions, or changes in team strategy. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the second quarter of the Dolphins-49ers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual second quarter total will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Dolphins or the 49ers would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might draw attention to this market and prompt traders to reassess their positions.