TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the outcome of the second quarter in an upcoming football game between the Miami Dolphins and the San Francisco 49ers. Each market evaluates different point spreads to determine the relative performance of each team during that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of the Miami Dolphins vs San Francisco 49ers game scheduled for September 20, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point differential. Markets cover a range of spreads from 2.5 to 10.5 points for both teams, allowing participants to assess varying levels of dominance. Only points scored in the second quarter count toward resolution, and all markets operate independently of each other. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their individual beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook odds can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies, and whether there's a potential edge to be found.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 49ers-Dolphins 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting on their prediction of the final point spread, and the market price aggregates these individual beliefs. The more a particular spread is bought, the higher its price becomes, indicating increased confidence in that outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the 2nd quarter spread in the MIA Dolphins vs SF 49ers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting payouts shortly after the game concludes.