TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of an upcoming professional football game between the Miami Dolphins and the San Francisco 49ers. The outcome depends solely on second-half performance, with overtime included, and resolves based on whether San Francisco, Miami, or neither (a tie) achieves the higher score in that segment of the game.
If San Francisco wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the MIA Dolphins vs SF 49ers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the MIA Dolphins vs SF 49ers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the MIA Dolphins vs SF 49ers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they may drive the price on Kalshi in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game. This comparison can highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing each possible outcome—either the 49ers or the Dolphins winning the second half. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand; as more people buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective prediction of all traders participating in the market. The current price represents the market’s probability assessment of each team winning the second half.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the second half of the MIA Dolphins vs SF 49ers game will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and reporting to ensure accuracy. All outstanding contracts for the winning team will then pay out at a price of 100, while contracts for the losing team will expire worthless.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the 49ers or the Dolphins would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate a shift in sentiment and cause the price to move, even without any specific news event. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding the market’s dynamics.