TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:15 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points the Miami Dolphins and San Francisco 49ers will score together in the second half of their football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined second-half scoring by both teams exceeds specified thresholds. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the second half of play, including any overtime periods added during that half. Each market defines a unique point total threshold, and the outcome depends on whether the actual combined score surpasses that threshold. The thresholds range incrementally from just over three points to more than forty-two points. If the game is rescheduled or canceled without a completed second half, all markets will resolve as 'No.' The official scoring source determines the resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any formal association with the governing league or its trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks initially set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows individuals to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal where public opinion diverges from professional oddsmakers, providing a unique perspective on the game's expected result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Dolphins-49ers 2nd half total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and changing expectations, offering a real-time gauge of sentiment surrounding the game's second half.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the second half of the Dolphins-49ers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored in the second half will be compared to the market’s contract values to determine winning and losing contracts. The official NFL results will serve as the basis for verification, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to and during the game. Key player injuries on either the Dolphins or 49ers would likely cause significant shifts, as would any major changes in weather conditions. Live game events, such as early scoring drives or defensive stops, will also impact the market in real-time. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also contribute to price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the second half total.