TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will score the most points in the second quarter of an upcoming professional football game. It focuses solely on the performance during that specific quarter, independent of the overall game result. The outcome depends entirely on which team has the higher point total in that quarter, or if the points are equal.
If Las Vegas wins the 2nd Quarter of the MIA Dolphins vs LV Raiders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami wins the 2nd Quarter of the MIA Dolphins vs LV Raiders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Quarter of the MIA Dolphins vs LV Raiders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, but this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more refined assessment of probabilities. However, it’s important to remember that sportsbooks and prediction markets have different incentives and user bases, so discrepancies can occur. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes for this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing their belief in each outcome. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as traders react to news and analysis related to the Dolphins and Raiders. The current top outcome, as indicated by trader activity, is unavailable.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that has the highest score at the end of the 2nd quarter will be declared the winner. If the score is tied at the end of the 2nd quarter, the “Neither Team Wins” outcome will be the result. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome of this market, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dolphins or the Raiders would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first quarter, such as a dominant offensive drive or a crucial turnover, could lead to rapid adjustments in the market as traders react to the unfolding events. Public sentiment and expert analysis, as reflected in media coverage, can also contribute to movement in this market.