TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether the combined scoring output of the Miami Dolphins and Las Vegas Raiders in the second half of their scheduled game will exceed various thresholds. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the potential pace and outcome of the game's latter stages.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second half of play, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a specific threshold: if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds range from just over three points to more than forty-two points, offering varying levels of difficulty for achieving a Yes outcome. The secondary rule consistently specifies that only points scored during the second half of regulation play count, ensuring uniformity across all markets. These markets are independent assessments of scoring volume, with each threshold providing a distinct perspective on potential game dynamics.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook's line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Dolphins-Raiders matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, the probability of the 2nd half total points being over or under the specified line. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts (over), the price increases, and as more traders buy 'no' contracts (under), the price decreases. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective belief of all participants in the market about the likely outcome of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Dolphins-Raiders game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under the line established when the market was created. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dolphins or the Raiders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Public betting trends and expert analysis, while not directly reflected on Kalshi, can also indirectly affect the market.