TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead after the first quarter of a professional football game between the Miami Dolphins and the Las Vegas Raiders. It considers scenarios where either team could be ahead or where the quarter could end in a tie.
If Las Vegas wins the 1st Quarter of the MIA Dolphins vs LV Raiders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami wins the 1st Quarter of the MIA Dolphins vs LV Raiders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the MIA Dolphins vs LV Raiders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a team’s chances, the odds in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Dolphins or the Raiders winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely winner. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing traders to express their views and profit from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of who won the first quarter of the MIA Dolphins vs LV Raiders game will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the payouts to contract holders. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries to either the Dolphins or the Raiders would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. Any unexpected developments leading up to kickoff could create volatility in this market.