TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the total points scored by both teams during the first quarter of a football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined scoring will exceed various point totals.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by the Miami Dolphins and Las Vegas Raiders during the first quarter of their scheduled game on September 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points. Only points scored in the first quarter count toward resolution. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual total points scored in that quarter to each threshold; if the combined score exceeds the threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a separate condition for resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the Dolphins-Raiders game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, offering opportunities to profit from correctly anticipating the outcome of the Dolphins-Raiders first quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter between the Miami Dolphins and the Las Vegas Raiders will be used to determine if the total points scored exceed the threshold established in the market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dolphins or the Raiders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could sway trader sentiment and shift the price of contracts in this market. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role.