TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 6:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds of points scored by both teams combined in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the potential pace and offensive output of the match.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by the Miami Dolphins and Las Vegas Raiders during the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each market corresponds to a unique threshold, and the outcome for each is resolved based on whether the total points scored in the first half surpass that threshold. Only points scored during the first half of play are considered for resolution, and all markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing body's official scoring and game records will be used to determine the final outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with sportsbook odds as the event approaches. However, differences can emerge due to varying information access and biases. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume, as we’re seeing with this market.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the first half of the MIA Dolphins vs LV Raiders game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded the threshold defined in the market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders participating in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dolphins or the Raiders would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could influence trader sentiment. Even significant betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could spill over and affect trading activity in this market.