TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 6:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva and KF Víkingur, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva" if MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KF Víkingur" if KF Víkingur are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva and KF Víkingur, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva" if MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KF Víkingur" if KF Víkingur are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. On Polymarket, traders stake real capital on outcomes, creating market-driven prices that can differ meaningfully from sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants. For this event, comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook offerings can reveal whether traders are pricing the opening goal differently than professional oddsmakers expect.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; as more traders back one team to score first, that outcome's price rises and its implied probability increases. You trade by purchasing YES or NO shares at the current market price, with your potential payout determined by the final odds at settlement. This continuous pricing model ensures transparent, real-time valuation throughout the trading period.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the opening goal is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores first during regular play. Once the event is finalized and confirmed through established sports data sources, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who correctly predicted the first scorer. No further trading occurs after resolution.
Several factors can shift odds before kickoff and during the match. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp price movement. Historical head-to-head records, recent form, and home-field advantage can influence trader positioning. Once play begins, early match momentum, possession patterns, and shot quality will drive real-time repricing. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and substitutions may also sway sentiment. Monitoring pre-match analysis and live commentary helps traders anticipate these catalysts and adjust positions accordingly.