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406,422

Markets across

30,383

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Mexico vs. South Africa - More Markets
polymarket
predict

Mexico vs. South Africa - More Markets

Volume:
$8,872,402

Mexico (-1.5)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Mexico (-1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,816,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Mexico (-1.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$4,253
$296,724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$805,618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 1.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$10,239
$13,451
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$315,664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 0.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$6,458
$10,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mexico O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$170,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mexico O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,828
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2nd Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,277,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,128
$101,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mexico (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$496,308
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Mexico (-2.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,052
$10,193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$298,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Both Teams to Score

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,649
$75,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$271,879
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 3.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,039
$14,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170,974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 5.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$364,000
$8,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$158,038
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 4.5

View
N/A
N/A
—
$34,126
$19,473
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

South Africa (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 47

Intro

This market tracks the final margin of victory in the Mexico versus South Africa FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 11, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Aggregated across Polymarket and Predict, the consensus probability favors Mexico winning by 1.5 goals or more at 99.6%, with Mexico winning by 2.5 or more goals at 0.6%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA statistics published on fifa.com covering the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Watch for the match kickoff on June 11 to see whether Mexico's projected dominance materializes on the pitch.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets on both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution logic tied to the official fifa.com final score, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and fallback sources.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA statistics published on fifa.com; if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting may be used as secondary source.

Core resolution logic:

  • Spread markets (Mexico -1.5, Mexico -2.5, South Africa -1.5, South Africa -2.5) resolve based on goal differential: Mexico wins if they win by the specified margin or greater; otherwise South Africa wins (or vice versa for South Africa spreads).
  • Over/Under markets (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5) resolve Over if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold, Under if below.
  • Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal; No if either team scores zero.
  • All resolutions based on final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalty shootouts excluded.
  • If match is postponed, markets remain open until completion; if canceled with no make-up game, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Post-resolution score revisions by FIFA are not recognized; settlement is final upon initial official publication.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date.
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets in the group resolve 50-50.
  • Incomplete Match: If the match begins but is not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution follows the official final score published by FIFA for the portion played.
  • Source Fallback Timing: If FIFA does not publish official statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus becomes the resolution source.
  • Score Revision After Settlement: Any revisions to the officially declared final score made after market resolution are not recognized; the market remains settled on the initial official score.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon publication of the official final score on fifa.com, or within 2 hours after match conclusion if credible reporting consensus is required. Markets settle immediately upon confirmation of the final score.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 11 at 3:00 PM ET.

Predict

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 11 at 3:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict often reflect different pricing than traditional sportsbooks because they aggregate crowd sentiment in real time without the margin built into sportsbook lines. Prediction market participants trade directly against each other, which can lead to sharper, more efficient pricing on some outcomes while occasionally lagging on breaking news. Comparing these decentralized odds to major sportsbooks helps identify value discrepancies and market inefficiencies for the Mexico vs. South Africa match.

Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup announcements, and tactical changes from either side. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can shift market expectations significantly. International fixture congestion, travel schedules, and motivational factors also influence odds. Real-time updates during pre-match warm-ups and any last-minute roster decisions will likely trigger sharp price movements across both Polymarket and Predict as traders adjust positions.