TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
During a FIFA World Cup match between Mexico and South Africa scheduled for June 11, 2026, selected players from both teams compete to record goals at varying thresholds throughout the full match including any extra time periods.
Each market evaluates whether a designated player achieves a specified minimum goal threshold during the entire Mexico vs South Africa match on June 11, 2026, including regulation, stoppage, and extra time periods. Markets are structured around goal minimums such as 1+, 2+, or 3+ goals for different players. If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is based exclusively on the player's recorded goals.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability and profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of independent traders' beliefs. For Mexico vs South Africa goalscorer bets, prediction markets may offer sharper pricing on less popular outcomes and faster reaction to team news or lineup changes. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities before bookmakers adjust their lines.
On Kalshi, Mexico vs South Africa: Goalscorer contracts are priced between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares if they believe a player is more likely to score than the current price suggests, and sell if they think the probability is overstated. Kalshi's order book aggregates all buy and sell orders, and the last traded price becomes the market price. As match conditions change—injuries, tactical shifts, or team news—prices adjust dynamically to reflect new information.
The Mexico vs South Africa: Goalscorer market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final match result and official goalscorer records from the match authorities. Each contract corresponds to a specific player, and resolves to 100 if that player scores at least one goal during regulation and extra time, or to 0 if they do not score. Contracts are independent, so multiple players can resolve to 100 if multiple goals are scored.
Key catalysts for Mexico vs South Africa: Goalscorer odds include team lineup announcements, injury reports, and recent form data. If a leading striker is ruled out, their odds will drop sharply while backup forwards' odds rise. Pre-match press conferences often reveal tactical adjustments or player fitness updates that move markets. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and historical head-to-head goalscorer patterns can also influence prices. Late-breaking news—such as a player's suspension or a surprise starting XI change—typically triggers the largest price movements in the final hours before kickoff.