TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 3:56 PM EST
Kalshi
A FIFA World Cup match between Mexico and South Africa scheduled for June 11, 2026, with focus on the combined goal count during the first half.
Resolution is based on the total goals scored by Mexico and South Africa during the first half of their professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 11, 2026. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific first-half goal threshold: outcomes resolve to Yes if the combined first-half goal total exceeds the stated threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 goals). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored during the first half count toward this market.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because markets aggregate real-time trader conviction rather than relying on pre-match models. Analysts may publish expected first-half goal ranges based on team form and historical data, while prediction markets reflect live betting activity and breaking news. Markets typically adjust faster than published forecasts when team news or lineup changes emerge. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sports analytics outlets can reveal where professional traders see value relative to consensus expert opinion on this Mexico–South Africa encounter.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, Mexico vs South Africa: First Half Total is priced as a binary or range contract reflecting the implied probability of the specified first-half outcome. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with each cent representing a 1% probability increment. The current market price reflects the balance of buy and sell orders; as new information surfaces—team injuries, tactical adjustments, or pre-match momentum—the price adjusts dynamically. Kalshi's order book shows depth and liquidity, helping traders gauge how much conviction exists at each price level for this fixture.
The Mexico vs South Africa: First Half Total market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official first-half result of the match between Mexico and South Africa. The specific outcome criteria—such as total goals, goal margin, or other first-half metrics—are defined by the market contract terms. Once the first half concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles based on whether the actual first-half performance matches the outcome you wagered on.
Several catalysts could shift Mexico vs South Africa: First Half Total odds before kickoff. Team news—injuries to key forwards or defensive players—directly impacts scoring expectations. Lineup announcements and tactical formations revealed hours before the match often trigger sharp price moves. Weather conditions at the venue may affect play style and goal likelihood. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any last-minute roster changes can also sway trader sentiment. Additionally, betting volume spikes and sharp money entering the market can signal new information, causing rapid repricing on Kalshi as the match approaches.