TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 12:00 AM EST
Predict
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.
Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and England, scheduled for July 5 at 8:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. This market aggregates the beliefs of traders willing to stake capital on player performance, which can reveal insights sportsbooks may not yet have priced in. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value or where sharp money is flowing, though both sources remain imperfect forecasts of actual game outcomes.
On Predict, player prop contracts are priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers directly set the odds based on their willingness to trade. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices update in real time as new orders flow in, and the current bid-ask spread reflects the market's confidence in each outcome. Traders can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, and the platform aggregates all activity to display the live probability for each prop. This mechanism ensures prices remain responsive to new information and trader sentiment throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the Mexico vs. England match concludes and individual player statistics are finalized. The outcome for each prop is verified against credible public sources, including official match records and recognized sports data providers. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to see results quickly. Outcomes are determined by the actual performance metrics recorded during the match, such as goals scored, assists, shots on target, or other tracked statistics depending on the specific prop contract.
Key catalysts include team news such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical shifts that affect player availability or expected minutes. Pre-match analysis from credible sports journalists and expert predictions can shift trader sentiment, as can betting market moves at major sportsbooks. Weather conditions, venue factors, and historical head-to-head performance data may also influence how traders price individual player props. Real-time developments during the match itself—early goals, red cards, or unexpected substitutions—will cause sharp repricing as new information arrives and traders adjust their positions accordingly.